Habitening Logo A cup of water.
Habitening

Post-mortem on 2020-11-29

Summary

Habits that occurred on 725
Habits that lacked prior history 115
Habits that were predictable 610

Prediction error

Distribution of habit date counts

Distribution of durations

Distribution of habit counts

Reference

exponential average
Use the exponential moving average duration with a constant smoothing factor to make the prediction
Holt-Winters
Use the Holt-Winters double exponentially smoothed average duration to make the prediction
last occurrence
Use the last occurrence as the prediction
mean
Use the average duration to make the prediction
moving
Use the simple moving average duration over the last n periods to make the prediction
weighted
Use the weighted moving average duration over the last n periods to make the prediction

More...

lightbulb_outline Didn't find what you were looking for? Create your own!